out of their mouths. After all, these are the Cincinnati Bungles we're talking about. The Fightin Andy Dalton's. They're awful! No way the 49ers lose to them!
And they're also a slim favorite against the 49ers now that Odds Shark has opened their lines. Odds Shark installed the Bengals as 1-1/2 point favorites. If you run through their list of odds from other sites, the 49ers range from that point and a half all the way up to three point underdogs.
In the spread, the home team gets three points right off the bat. Although it's not exactly scientific, you could make the argument that if a team is a three point favorite at home, oddsmakers view them as fairly evenly matched teams on a neutral field. Much more is in play with two teams, but that's one way to view things.
This low spread would seem to indicate that oddsmakers view the 49ers as a little bit better outside of Cincy, but they're not quite willing to go all the way and install them as road favorites. The 49ers have had some highlights this season but they aren't consistent enough yet to get favored status against the Bengals who are sort of all over the place.
The Bengals surprised theBrownson opening day and then almost pulled off a comeback in Denver. They're not going to be a particularly good team this year, but they're also a team that could sneak up on folks that overlook them. Coach Harbaugh has plenty to work on this week in terms of just proper execution, but he'll also need to keep the players focused on the task at hand. He is a big proponent of taking things day-by-day, practice-by-practice, play-by-play. This is a perfect test of that.
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I'm predicting a solid win.
Harbs needs to open up the playbook a bit more than last week and this should give our team a winning record for the first time in, well I honestly cannot remeber.
Is Harbaugh a closet Singletary disciple? Does he often contemplate WWSD?
since week one.
Sorry for the smart allec comment but wat really was our last winning season? 2002?
byLeonineron Sep 20, 2011 12:20 PM PDT via mobilereply actions
Mooch’s last season.
Seattle doesn’t really count though! Niners got tiger blood this year, them Bengals ain’t got no chance!
Is Harbaugh a closet Singletary disciple? Does he often contemplate WWSD?
Hopefully AJ Green doesn’t have a Miles Austin-like performance.
Bengals don’t look that bad. I’m preparing for disappointment. What’s our record in 10 am kickoffs over the last 5 years?
It’s going to get real real ugly. @ Phil, vs TB, @ Det. 1-5 going into the bye is an absolute possiblity. Better get this one boys!
http://espn.go.com/blog/nflnation/post/_/id/28386/deck-stacked-against-west-in-early-starts
note that 4 of those wins have been against the Rams.
byreedkraseon Sep 20, 2011 1:29 PM PDT up reply actions
byUncleHulkaon Sep 20, 2011 2:33 PM PDT up reply actions
Good info, thanks.
I’m not a better/gambler type – it was good to learn something about points spreads, etc.
Go Niners!
Only 2 things come from Texas, and I don't see any horns.
They are doing a week long camp style trip.
Is Harbaugh a closet Singletary disciple? Does he often contemplate WWSD?
I know it’s a cliche, but if Dallas was a “measuring stick”, Cinci is a “must win”. If this team is indeed better than last year, they have to win a game like this.
1-2 heading into those next three weeks would be very, very bad especially for this team that is so used to losing.
byAptosNinerFanon Sep 20, 2011 1:13 PM PDT reply actions
it’ll just be another measuring stick. We’ll find out if we’re going to repeat the 6-10 season, or if we can responsibly hope for better. I say responsibly because I’m still hoping for an 18-1 season.
byreedkraseon Sep 20, 2011 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions
I heard Harbaugh is having the Gatroade replaced with tiger blood starting next week so it’s pretty much a done deal.
I mean every game is a “measuring stick” and a “must win” right?
I’m just saying if they can’t beat the Bengals, who can they beat?
byAptosNinerFanon Sep 20, 2011 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions
last year on the road…then add to the fact that our entire division plays lousy on the road…nobody.
But if there’s any good news in playing Cincy, it’s that none of their receivers are named Austin, Bryant, or Witten.
As long as we stifle Green and Benson, I think we’ll do more or less ok…provided of course that our o-line remembers that blocking is essential in moving the chains
byDoni Son Sep 20, 2011 2:00 PM PDT via SB Nation iPhone appup reply actions
They got burned by Jesse Holley on Sunday. What’s that? You’ve never heard of him?
byAptosNinerFanon Sep 20, 2011 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions
byAptosNinerFanon Sep 20, 2011 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions
Good god I can’t type sometimes.
byAptosNinerFanon Sep 20, 2011 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions
none of their receivers are named Austin, Bryant, or Witten.
Oh, and the top SF WR?
Benson will probably get shut down though.
Going into Cincy and just getting a win isn’t enough. Cincy doesn’t have the tallent that the 49ers do on either side of the ball and ST. We should win this game easily. It is time for JH to get his foot on the perverbial neck of the Bengals and keep it there until the final whistle. Anything less than a 20+ point victory and I’ll be disappointed.
byColoradoSprings9eron Sep 20, 2011 1:42 PM PDT up reply actions
i love a good laugh every now and then...
They needed 2 special teams TD’s to beat a terrible Seattle team at home.
They blew a 10 point lead at home to a team led by a QB with a broken rib.
The 49ers have one of the worst offenses and pass defenses in all of the NFL:
26th best rushing attack at under 80 yards per game
25th best pass defense at 291 yards allowed per game
So I fail to see how they win by 20 on the road as an “easy” thing?
not to try and build our D more than it is, but...
what defense has Cincy really faced yet…? have they faced a solid pass rush? while i’m at it, have they even faced an offense as good as ours…?
Only Seattle has a worse offense than us at the moment.
byAptosNinerFanon Sep 20, 2011 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions
From what I've read, the 49ers have the best rush D in the NFL. yards per game.....
If the DBs don’t try to play the run and do thier jobs, they will win this game.
byericalancantyon Sep 20, 2011 1:40 PM PDT reply actions
Alex Smith or Alice as some would call him, is the 11thr ranked QB in the NFL.....
He has a nice 95.2 QB rating, but what concerns me is the 44 attempts. There are 4 QBs with over 80+ and 12 more with 70+. Alex has been very proficient the last 2 games and bang on his 6.89 YPA avg, but it is way better than Gore’s 2.5 YPA.
Also of note. the 49ers had 24 runs and 24 passes…..50/50 is better than up in Seattle 65/35
byericalancantyon Sep 20, 2011 1:52 PM PDT reply actions
These first two games have shown...
it’s time to let Alex sink or swim. Enough with the kid gloves.
byAptosNinerFanon Sep 20, 2011 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions
Take notes Jim...
“I think that sent a message to our football team, and not a positive message,” Reid said Monday, a day after the Falcons scored two fourth-quarter touchdowns to overcome a 10-point deficit. "For those first couple series that he was in, I did something that I normally don’t do. By sitting on the ball I think that sends a message to everybody, and it’s not a positive message.
“So I’m kicking myself in the tail for that right now. It’s my responsibility to make sure that we play reckless, aggressive football, and when the head coach doesn’t do that, that’s not a good sign.”
“The one thing that we’ll take out of this game is when you have a lead – and again this is where I’ve got to look in the mirror on this – when you have the lead, you get after it and you stay aggressive,” said Reid. “Again, I didn’t set the tempo for that. We’re going to learn how to finish here, starting with me.”
byAptosNinerFanon Sep 20, 2011 1:59 PM PDT reply actions
im taking lions, jets, & 49ers.
1st- Patrick Peterson CB, 2nd- Jake Locker QB, 3rd-Allen Bailey DE, 4th- Dontay Moch OLB, 4th- Jacquizz Rodgers RB, 5th- Owen Marecic FB, 6th- Greg McElroy QB, 6th- Jake Kirkpatrick OC, 7th- Derrick Lock RB, 7th- Greg Salas WR
bySippin'onGinn&Juiceon Sep 20, 2011 2:05 PM PDT via mobilereply actions
Moran Norris Hurt? is it Miller Time?
just four snaps in the second half. He was seen wearing an orthopedic boot Monday on his left foot. His availability for Sunday’s game against Cincinnati is not known. . . .
byericalancantyon Sep 20, 2011 2:06 PM PDT reply actions
They’re not going to be a particularly good team this year
True. But neither will the Bengals be a particularly good team either.
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